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Forecast Project

The UHERO Forecast Project provides the Hawaii community with analysis of economic, demographic, and business trends in the State and the Asia-Pacific region.




The primary activity of the UHERO Forecast Project is the interpretation and projection of statistical and other data on the changing economic and business environment in the State, its four counties, and principal external economies. Summaries and analyses are disseminated through forecast reports, and public fora. UHERO develops and maintains high-frequency industry level statistical models of Hawaii, its four counties and key external economies to support rigorous forecasting exercises. The quality of the forecast program is enhanced by academic peer review and publication.

Subscribe to UHERO Forecast Project Reports

The UHERO Forecast Project is a community-sponsored research program of the University of Hawaii at Manoa. An annual subscription to the full schedule of reports is $1,000.

Subscribe Online


or see our downloadable  subscription form.

Report Schedule

  • 1st quarter: Hawaii State Forecast Update. Brief review of recent economic developments and outlook.
  • 2nd quarter: County Forecast. Review of economic conditions and forecasts for the four counties. Includes the state forecast update.
  • 3rd quarter: Construction Forecast. Review of construction industry conditions and forecast. Includes the state forecast update.
  • 4th quarter: Annual Hawaii Forecast. Review of economic conditions in Hawaii and globally, and detailed forecasts for the state economy.

All reports include the full set of industrially-detailed multi-year forecasts.

View Public Forecast Summaries

Premium Services

UHERO conducts customized research for public and private sector clients. Examples include detailed twenty-year demographic/economic forecasts for the state and the four counties, online surveys of county business conditions, and long-term policy scenarios for development in specific sectors. Please contact us for more information.